Monday, August 11, 2008

Suck it, France

France guarantees victory. Jason Lezak says no.



Chris Chase at Yahoo! chronicles the art of the French choke.




In other news, the Steelers sign Byron Leftwich to replace Homestead Charlie as the veteran backup.

Early word from the Steelers front office is that if former Olympic Skier Jeremy Bloom doesn't work at Punt Returner, the Steelers are prepared to call in Michael Phelps for a tryout at Punt Returner.

Too bad Phelps is a Ravens fan. Tony over at Ravens 24x7 should be pretty pumped about that.

Early prediction: Phelps wins more gold medals at Beijing than the Ravens win games this season.

Team Preview: New York Jets

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2007 Record: 4-12

Out with the new and in with the old. Just like that, the Jets are favorites to make the playoffs. Brett Favre's arrival brings stability to the team's biggest weakness on offense. He brings the big arm that Chad Pennington (now with the Dolphins) lacked, while providing the leadership and experience that now #2 QB Kellen Clemens does not possess. However, the talent surrounding the future Hall of Fame signal caller is not as substantial as it was in Green Bay. At 38 years old, Favre may have to carry the offense a little more than he did last season.

Despite missing out on Darren McFadden, the running game still boasts four solid, if unspectacular, players, led by Thomas Jones. Jones has rushed for over 1,100 yards each of the last three years, including his first with the Jets in '07. Leon Washington is a quick back who ran for 650 yards as a rookie, but only gained 350 last season after seeing his carries cut in half. With a more balanced offensive attack, expect his numbers to improve, assuming he gets enough chances. Jesse Chatman, who had a career year in 2007 after missing the previous two seasons, and former Raven Musa Smith will also compete for touches in a very deep backfield. All the options will get the benefit of following Tony Richardson, one of the best fullbacks in the game.

The receiving corps has a chance to be very good with Favre directing the offense. Despite recording the fewest amount of receiving yards since his rookie year, Laveranues Coles still provides Favre with a solid #1 option, much like Donald Driver did for so many years. Opposite wide out Jerricho Cotchery surpassed one thousand yards for the first time in his four year career. However, he will be pushed by second year converted QB Brad Smith and Chansi Stuckey, a second year receiver who missed all of last year with a foot injury. Smith can be very dangerous on trick plays, while Stuckey has solid down-field speed. Also keep an eye on rookie Marcus Henry, a big 6'4" target with solid hands.

The tight end position has the potential to be as deep and productive as any in the NFL. Starter Chris Baker set a career high with just over 400 yards last season. However, the organization felt an upgrade was needed, so the team moved up into the latter stages of the first round and selected 6'4" Dustin Keller. Keller has very good speed, coupled with great hands. Early comparison: Chris Cooley of the Redskins. However, Keller's currently poor blocking skills have him third on the depth chart behind Baker and Bubba Franks, a good all-around blocker who comes over from the Packers.

The Jets will have one of the best offensive lines in the NFL protecting their new quarterback and stable of running backs. Third year studs D'Brickashaw Ferguson and Nick Mangold anchor the line at LT and center, respectively. The twin 2006 first round picks are joined by veterans Alan Faneca and Damien Woody, both of whom have gone to multiple pro-bowls. Brandon Moore completes a very formidable line. Beyond the starters, however, is little depth, so potential injuries are a concern.

The Jets' defense is hard to figure out. They have the players and the coaching to adequately support the offense in a playoff run. However, inconsistent play, as well as injury concerns, may prevent the unit from reaching its full potential. The star of the line is end Shaun Ellis. While he still provides an above average pass rush and run-stopping ability, Ellis has only topped 60 tackles once in his career, while recording only 12.5 sacks during the last three seasons after posting 11 in 2004 and 12.5 in 2003. He no longer needs to be spectacular, however, after the emergence of Kenyon Coleman, who nearly tripled his career high in tackles after coming over from Dallas last year. The Jets also added tackle Kris Jenkins from the Panthers in hope of solidifying their 29th-ranked run defense. The coaches are hoping Jenkins regains the form that made him a pro-bowler in 2002 and 2003, while avoiding the injuries that cost him most of the '04 and '05 campaigns. If the three lineman don't perform up to expectations, the Jets will be in trouble due to the lack of depth found on the entire defense, especially evident on the line.

Gone is Jonathan Vilma, who didn't fit coach Eric Mangini's system. In comes Calvin Pace from Arizona. After playing defensive end his first four years, the Cardinals moved Pace to LB last season, where he responded with a career high 98 tackles (previous high of 32) and 6.5 sacks. It obviously remains to be seen whether Pace can consistently put up such numbers, but he will nevertheless be looked upon as the new anchor of the defense. Bryan Thomas lines up on the other side, but he will now be pushed by sixth overall pick Vernon Gholston. Thomas had a great '06 season, shattering his career high totals. However, he returned to his career average form in 2007, and has the highly touted rookie waiting in the wings right behind him. Luckily for Thomas, Gholston is still struggling to make the transition from end to linebacker, and is in no way ready to start the season opener. The middle is shut down by veteran Eric Barton and youngster David Harris. Barton has lost a step in recent years, but still provides a solid presence and able tackler. Underrated at Michigan, and even on draft day, Harris may be the AFC's version of Patrick Willis. He's not as athletic, but he always makes the smart play, and is a superb tackler. David Bowens provides great depth on the inside if needed.

For as good as the LB unit is, the corner position may be better when healthy. 2007 first round pick Darrelle Revis (87 tackles, 3 INT's as a rookie) and 2005 second round pick Justin Miller form one of the best young duos in the league. Although he is recovering from a serious knee injury that forced him to miss most of last year, and despite not possessing the physicals tools or overall talent of Revis, Miller has the speed to run with any receiver in the NFL. If completely healthy, look for Miller to return kickoffs, where he made the pro-bowl as a rookie. Last year, Hank Poteat finally saw action on defense in every game (not just on special teams). He posted a career best 37 tackles and recorded his first two interceptions of his career. Poteat, Green Bay castoff Ahmad Carroll (also coming off an injury), and David Barrett provide the secondary with great depth.

Kerry Rhodes is expected to pick up his play at the safety position. Although his INT numbers have risen from one to five the last three years, his tackle totals have dropped from 106 in 2005 to 68 last year. He must return to his rookie form for the defense to truly succeed because the other safety options are below average at best. Mike Nugent is a solid kicker with a good leg. He may be ready to take the next step into elite kicker status.

The Jets have alternated 10-6 and 4-12 records the last four years. If they keep that trend, they may be able to squeak into the playoffs. They certainly have the talent to achieve such a task. They finally added the potential missing link at quarterback to compliment a solid running game. The offensive line will be able to keep Favre healthy throughout the season, meaning the pressure is on the defense to perform. If Jenkins and Miller can stay free from injury and return to form, you're looking at a playoff team with an outside shot to dethrone the Pats.

John's 2008 Prediction: 10-6
Ian's 2008 Prediction: 7-9

Team Preview: Miami Dolphins

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2007 Record: 1-15

It's hard to imagine circumstances not getting better for the Dolphins, but, nevertheless, things are finally looking up in Miami. After winning a combined seven games the last two seasons, changes were imminent, and they started with the introduction of football guru Bill Parcels as what amounts to the director of football operations. The Dolphins entered training camp under new head coach Tony Sparano, who had a tough decision to make regarding the starting quarterback. Promising second year signal caller John Beck appeared to have the early edge on rookie Chad Henne. However, Sparano's job just got tougher (in a good way) within the last week with the addition of established veteran Chad Pennington. Now this is what you call a true QB battle - three guys, all with a legitimate shot at starting in week one. Even Josh McCown, who is currently penciled in as the backup (the loser of Beck/Henne would have been #3), could surprise and be named the starter. To some, it may be a foregone conclusion that Pennington will start, and they are probably right; but based on the other offensive weapons, I think Beck or Henne should get the nod.

The backfield behind whoever is under center is a blend of doubt and hope, potential mediocrity and possible stardom. Ronnie Brown is attempting to come back from a serious knee injury that cost him the final half of 2007. When he went down, Brown was the league's leading rusher, finally showing the promise he demonstrated in college. Coaches hope the return of the enigmatic Ricky Williams, who was lost for the season in his only game last year, will allow Brown to ease back into full time work. Behind these two potential studs, however, is a very bare closet. If Williams decides to take another self-revealing trip to a foreign country in the middle of the season, the Dolphins would be left with unproven Patrick Cobbs backing up Brown. Not good.

When I look at the receiving corps, I also see the words "oozing potential" defining it. Ted Ginn Jr., thus far a first round bust, is being given a chance to start at receiver opposite former Jacksonville starter Ernest Wilford. Underused down south, I believe the 6'4" Wilford has the ability to match what Chris Chambers did for the Dolphins before being traded last season. The third and fourth options, however, are what could make this unit shine. Former third rounder Derek Hagan and undrafted rookie Davone Bess both excelled in pass-happy systems in college. Both receivers mirror the starters - Hagan is another tall receiver at 6'2", while Bess has the speed that made him a threat at Hawaii. This group of wide outs, with their ability to get down field quickly with Ginn and Bess, as well as out leap everyone on jump balls with Wilford and Hagan, is what leads me to believe that either Beck or, even more so, Henne should start in favor of the weak-armed, yet super accurate Pennington. Tight end Anthony Fasano's contribution will depend on the QB. With Pennington and a shorter passing attack, Fasano could be a standout. With the others, he's mediocre at best.

Besides QB, the big mystery remains the line. Number one overall selection Jake Long will team with '04 first rounder Vernon Carey and underrated second year center Samson Satele to form a seemingly above average line. However, the guards still remain a concern. Former 49er Justin Smiley is expected to fill one hole, while Trey Darilek, a converted center, will get first shot at plugging the right side.

On defense, Jason Taylor is finally gone via trade, while, similar to the receivers, the line has extreme potential. Littered with former high draft picks, this unit could dominate if it fulfills its potential. Solid and reliable end Matt Roth is set to start on one side of the line, while a battle ensues between veteran Vonnie Holliday (coming off a down year) and rookie Phillip Merling, a second round steal from Clemson. Second year end Quentin Moses provides great quality depth for both end and linebacker, depending on the scheme employed by coaches. After playing only a single game last year in Dallas, Jason Ferguson comes to Miami to help improve the NFL's worst run defense. He will team with fellow newbie Randy Starks, who comes over from the Titans after an extremely disappointing 2007 campaign. Rodrique Wright provides a solid option in case of injury or continued poor play.

The key for Miami's defense this season may be the linebackers. Joey Porter is coming off a 5.5 sack effort (the third lowest total of his career) in his first year with Miami, while promising youngster Channing Crowder, a usually reliable tackling machine also coming off a poor campaign, has managed only 1.5 sacks in his first three seasons. The other linebacker position may go to another Dallas castoff in Akin Ayodele, but he also was held without a sack last season. For as talented as the line could be, they are still unproven as teammates and as individuals (save Ferguson), meaning the second level of the defense must get more consistent pressure on the QB.

Somehow, the secondary has gotten progressively worse over the years, and it does not appear to be that much stronger this season. Former Giants' first rounder Will Allen has been a letdown his first two years in Miami. Although he provides reliable coverage, he no longer is the force he was all over the field in New York. His numbers are comparable to the opposite corner, Michael Lehan (you should be saying "who?"). When healthy, Andre Goodman is a good nickel option but is still unspectacular. The star and future of the unit is 2006 first round pick Jason Allen. Despite uninspiring tackle numbers, Allen led the team with three INT's in only his second year. He lines up beside Yeremiah Bell, who missed all but one game last season after posting 70 tackles and a couple sacks the year before. Renaldo Hill also missed half of the 2007 season after a great '06. He will battle Bell, as well as newcomers Keith Davis (Dallas) and Chris Crocker (Atlanta), for a starting spot. However, if the line can't stop the run and the LB's can't get pressure, it won't matter who plays in the secondary. The only bright spot is that the wide outs in the division (except Moss and Welker) are average at best.

My Predictions - Pennington will start Week 1, but Henne will be in by Week 10; Ronnie Brown and Ricky Williams will combine for over 2,000 yards rushing; and Ernest Wilford and Ted Ginn will have close to a combined 1,000 yards receiving in the second half after the QB change. Unfortunately, I see little increase in pressure from the defense, leading to a secondary that continually gets beaten. I like the direction of the Dolphins, but the recent "move" (oh, you know) by the Jets clearly destines them for the AFC East cellar once again.

John's 2008 Prediction: 5-11
Ian's 2008 Prediction: 3-13

Saturday, August 9, 2008

Steelers win the battle for Penn's Woods

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10



Coach Tomlin is now 2-0 against Philadelphia. Hopefully the streak translates when it actually matters when we face them in week 3.

Since this is the first recap of the season, don't expect too much. We'll get better as the season goes, I promise. It's the preseason for us too.

Recap:

Steelers announce the offense to start off the season. Solid move as Willie, Ben, and Hines get the fans into it. They had representatives from local youth football teams at the game, which was a nice touch. The NFL had a special coin for the coin toss. Helmet was heads, the eagle was tails. Moronidelphia picks heads. It's tails. Steelers win the toss, solid start to the season.

Mendenhall gets a roaring cheer as he's announced as the kick returner. Akers, with the wind at his back, booms a kickoff out the back of the end zone.

The Steelers come out with a commitment to the run. Parker hits for a solid 4-yard run on his first carry since his broken leg. Parker around the outside close to the sticks on the next run, but a 15-yard facemask gets us the first down and more. Parker dashed back around the left side on the next play for an 11-yard run and that was it for Fast Willie. Mendenhall came in and busted a solid run. You could feel a pass coming.

Ben runs a sweet play-action, steps up to avoid pressure and hits Hines over the middle to move the ball into the red zone. Two running plays that went nowhere sets up a 3rd and 10. The corner slides in to blitz and Ben spots Holmes singled up against Brian Dawkins and tosses him a quick-hitter that Holmes takes to the house.

7-0
8 plays, 80 yards, 4 1/2 minutes. Great start to the season.

And then it was time for the defense to have their shot. The West Coast offense of the Eagles nipped at the Steelers defense as they made their way down the field on short passes and running plays. As the Eagles approached the red zone, Farrior came up with a huge sack on second down to force them into a third and long. McNabb threw a pass to no one and the refs called a phantom pass interference call on James Harrison, even though there was no chance anyone caught the ball. Faced with adversity, the defense held, capped off by a great play by Lawrence Timmons in man coverage against Michigan product Jason Avant. Akers doesn't miss from that close.

7-3

Akers booms another kickoff into the end zone, but Mendenhall brings it out to the 26 for a solid return.

By the way, we need a good nickname for Mendenhall.

Mendenhall runs for 1 and Homestead Charlie hits Davis for a short gain to bring up third down. Batch throws a nice pass for Holmes who consequently almost gets his head taken off by the safety. Punt. Ernster didn't look bad here.

Philly keeps the first team offense out and drives down the field, taking advantage of some lax coverage by Willie Gay for two gains of around 20 yards each.

End of the 1st Quarter

I have to say, Ryan Mundy looked awesome on this drive. Maybe that was a curse, because he also got hurt on this drive. It looked to me like a high ankle sprain, but I could be wrong. More news on that to come. The Eagles cashed in on a 3rd and goal from the 3 on a play-action pass to the fullback who was wide open.

10-7 bad guys.

Akers kicking against the wind is nowhere near as good. Tyrone Carter fields a bouncing kick and manages a good return. Run-Run-Pass-Punt. That's a motif for the Steelers. Get used to hearing it.

Houston product Kevin Kolb comes in for Philly. He may very well be the future face of the franchise. Delay of game on the new guy. Ouch. Kolb completes 4 passes for 23 yards, but an illegal formation penalty nullified one pass and the Eagles couldn't make a first down, forcing a punt.

The Steelers punt return by committee selected Mewelde Moore who caught it on the fly and returned for 9 yards to the Philly 45.

Mendenhall just owned the next drive as he picked up 25 yards in 3 carries to get the Steelers down to the 20. Tomlin had seen enough of Mendenhall and put Moore in. A mixup between Batch and Moore forced Batch to scramble out of the pocket where he took a thumping hit that broke his collarbone.


JD says: "He's out 4 to 6 weeks"

Dennis the Menace comes in, completes a short pass to Willie Reid, then hands off to Gary Russell twice, but Philly's D said no. Jeff Reed comes on and blasts it through.

10-10

The Eagles respond to the Steelers tying the game by going 3-and-out, and the Steelers get the ball back with 2 minutes to go. Prime time for Dennis to run the 2-minute drill. He hits Sweed over the middle with a high pass that gets Sweed cracked by a defender, but he holds on for a short gain. Great catch by Limas. Moore runs for a few. Third down and the Steelers spread the field, but everyone knew Dixon was going to try and run. Including Philly. No gain, punt.

The Steelers sat back in prevent and thankfully Kolb wasn't able to connect on enough passes to get them down the field into scoring range. The half ended with a solid sack by Nick Eason.

Halftime

Half the stadium left at this point, so things were a lot quieter as the teams came out of the locker room. Kolb and Tony Hunt (Penn State grad) carried the team down the field but two incomplete passes with the ball on the Steelers 35 forced a punt.

Holding on Trai Essex doomed the next drive to a punt. Typical preseason bore here, just waiting for someone to break the tie. The teams trade punts again.

Kolb fumbles the snap on a 3rd down and the Steelers fall on the ball, giving Dixon the chance to lead a scoring drive.

Fourth Quarter

Dixon guns one to Sweed along the sidelines that he pulls down to a chorus of "SWEEEEEED" from the fans. I think that one will stick. A failed attempt at a reverse to Jeremy Bloom, a run by Russell and an incompletion lead to another Reed field goal.

13-10

A.J. Feeley comes in for Philly and makes a good scramble that gets called back on a facemask penalty and does nothing for the rest of the drive. Punt.

If you were watching at home, I wouldn't have blamed you for watching more of the Olympic Opening Ceremonies at this point.

The Steelers get the ball at the 50 and bring in Mike Potts, whose job it is to hand off. Justin Vincent picks up some nice gains and gets the Steelers down to the 32. After a failed 3rd down, Coach opts for the field goal team.

50 yards into the open end at Heinz Field?
No problem.
16-10

Preseason bore until the 2-minute mark. The Eagles get the ball and look to start a drive for the win. Feeley moves them down to the Steelers 33 with 48 seconds to play. Uh-oh.

Choke city. Two penalties on the Eagles send them back around the 50, but a Pass Interference on the Steelers moves them back up to the 25. Feeley completes a short pass to get down to the 17 with 30-some seconds left. If you were still watching, your stomach was sinking. If you weren't you were in ignorant bliss thinking the Steelers had it wrapped up.

But Feeley blows it with 3 consecutive incompletions, turning the ball over on downs.

Victory formation.

Game.

Offensive Players of the Game:
Mendenall
Sweed
Kemoeatu
Defensive Players of the Game:
Mason
Fox
McFadden

Overall, this was a great way to start the season. The first-team offense looked solid and the defense will come around. The O-line looked great and I really like the move of Trai Essex to guard. I think he'll fit in a lot better there as he was always a little undersized for a tackle. Mendenhall looked great in his first real experience with contact. Sweed made some great catches and showed he can take a hit and hold on to the ball.

Biggest part of the night: no fumbles by the Steelers. Coming out of camp, you always worry about guys being able to hold on to the ball when they're getting drilled by defenders, but we didn't put it on the ground once tonight. Great job all around. Solid preseason victory.

Friday, August 8, 2008

NFC Wrap-up

Well we've gone through all 16 NFC teams with our season previews, so here is a rundown of what we think will happen.

Ian's Predictions:
NFC East
Dallas (11-5)
Washington (10-6)
New York Giants (8-8)
Philadelphia (7-9)

NFC North
Green Bay (11-5)
Minnesota (9-7)
Detroit (6-10)
Chicago (5-11)

NFC South
New Orleans (9-7)
Tampa Bay (8-8)
Carolina (8-8)
Atlanta (5-11)

NFC West
Seattle (11-5)
Arizona (9-7)
St. Louis (7-9)
San Francisco (3-13)

Playoffs:
1. Dallas
2. Seattle
3. Green Bay
4. New Orleans
5. Washington
6. Arizona

Round 1: Green Bay over Arizona, Washington over New Orleans
Round 2: Washington over Dallas, Seattle over Green Bay
Championship: Washington over Seattle

Yes, I know this is a risky prediction, but there is no singular team in the NFC that is head and shoulders above every one else. As we saw last year, a team with solid defense and that can score enough to win can make a run through the playoffs. As a side note, the last 3 Super Bowl champions (Pittsburgh, Indy, NY Giants) came from seeds 3-6.

John's Predictions
NFC East
Dallas (12-4)
Washington (10-6)
New York Giants (8-8)
Philadelphia (6-10)

NFC North
Green Bay (10-6)
Detroit (9-7)
Chicago (7-9)
Minnesota (6-10)

NFC South
New Orleans (11-5)
Tampa Bay (9-7)
Carolina (6-10)
Atlanta (5-11)

NFC West
Seattle (11-5)
Arizona (9-7)
San Francisco (6-10)
St. Louis (6-10)

Playoffs:
1. Dallas
2. Seattle
3. New Orleans
4. Green Bay
5. Washington
6. Detroit

Round 1: New Orleans over Detroit, Washington over Green Bay
Round 2: Washington over Dallas, Seattle over New Orleans
Championship: Seattle over Washington

First off, I have to say I struggled between Detroit and Arizona for the #6 seed. I know many people aren't high on Detroit, but I have a feeling they could win 5 0f 6 division games, whereas the Cardinals could legitimately lose all 6 - that's my reasoning. That said, I also like Washington to surprise many. While I hate putting the Seahawks in the super bowl, I believe back-to-back games in (likely) wintry G.B. and against rival Dallas will drain too much energy from the Redskins.

Thursday, August 7, 2008

Pump-Up Post

The season starts tomorrow. Tomorrow night we get to see football again. It's been a long summer. We've had plenty of things to keep us occupied since that heartbreaker in January.


The Pats blowing their perfect season.




The Penguins making an awesome playoff run to Game 6 of the Cup Finals.


The Pirates sitting within 6 games of .500 at the All-Star break, and subsequently trading Xavier Nady and Jason Bay. Not worthy of a picture.



The Druckenmiller Saga


But none of that matters now. It's time to break out the jersey, pull your towel out of it's hibernation place, pump some 'arn and get ready for the game.


The three things you'll need for tomorrow night.

Let's get pumped up. Wear your jersey to work tomorrow. Who cares if it's just the preseason. The Steelers are back.

If you're going to the game, the NFL has some new fan rules.

The game is on KDKA. Which means the awful announcing crew of Pomp and some shmuck will be announcing the game.

Our advice? Turn down the sound and turn on these guys:

KDKA also has a Steelers blog on their web site. Writer "bobpomp" (I wonder who that could be?) needs to go back to grammar school.


You might say that I'm the pot calling the kettle black because I don't use correct grammar. I also don't get paid to run this blog.
Are you ready for this again?

If that picture doesn't get you pumped up, nothing will.

For good measure, one of our favorite sites on the internet:

Team Preview: Seattle Seahawks


2007 Record: 10-6

Seattle put forth another solid campaign in 2007, coming out two games ahead of Arizona in a division that also featured San Francisco and St. Louis. Seattle made another playoff run, only to fall short in Green Bay. Seattle survived a first-round scare from the Washington Redskins, who had them on the ropes after a botched kickoff return. A huge stop by the defense and a missed field goal by Washington turned things around for the 'hawks who piled it on at the end with two interception returns for touchdowns.

While the Defense won the game for them in round 1, it lost the game in Green Bay. Seattle ran up a quick 14-0 lead on the Packers, who then proceeded to score touchdowns on six consecutive drives to pull ahead to an insurmountable lead. Seattle's offense was held to 200 total yards in the snowstorm at Lambeau.

Seattle's offseason was plagued by the departure of franchise running back Shaun Alexander, who remains a free agent as the first week of preseason football heats up. Seattle brought in Julius Jones from Dallas to help fill the void left by Alexander. Jones will likely split time with Maurice Morris, a speedster who played well in Alexander's absense last season.

Seattle's offense will once again be formidable, with Matt Hasselbeck at the helm with targets in former Penn State star Bobby Engram and Nate Burleson. Burleson set team records last year for his kick returning skills and became a solid receiver in the process. Deion Branch is still hampered by a knee injury but should be back during the first half of the season. In the mean time, Seattle is scrambling to find a third wide receiver. Ever since the Seahawks loss in Super Bowl XL, they have been struggling to find a solid tight end. They drafted John Carlson from Notre Dame with the 38th pick in the draft to help fill this void. They also drafted Owen Schmitt, bruising fullback from West Virginia in the 5th round to help with the blocking scheme for the running game.

On defense the Seahawks will be good once again, with Patrick Kearny returning to anchor the defensive line after his 14.5 sack season last year. Seattle had the sixth best scoring defense last year, giving up only 32 touchdowns, two more than the league-low Eagles. Seattle was also 5th in the league in takeaways with 34 and 5th in turnover differential with a +10 mark. Seattle also ranked 4th in the league in sacks last season with 45, an average of 2.8 per game.

Now comes the big question: is Seattle's success based on the fact that they play in a bad division? They have won the division championship four consecutive years and are obviously the team to beat going in to this year once again. However, let's also not forget that the last time a team from the NFC West not named Seattle had a season over .500 was 2003 when St. Louis went 12-4. Since then, St. Louis has gone 8-8 twice and Arizona reached the 8-win mark last season. However, this has meant minimal competition for the division crown.


Has Seattle gotten complacent? I doubt it. Mike Holmgren's team should win this division again, though they'll get their best run in five years for the crown. Though they split with the Cards last season, Seattle clinched the division title with its Week 14 victory over Arizona, allowing them to rest starters and coast for the final three weeks. Subsequently, Seattle went 1-2 in those last three weeks with losses to Carolina and Atlanta. After the Week 14 victory, Seattle was sitting at 9-4 and easily could have ended the season with 11 or 12 wins if Holmgren had been willing to play his starters and more than a base defense. But Seattle had locked up the #3 seed and was content to coast into the playoffs injury-free.

Will this be the year Arizona breaks Seattle's streak? The Whizard of Az is building a good team down in Glendale, but I still think this is Seattle's division to lose. With games against the AFC East, Seattle gets three easy opponents in Buffalo, Miami and the Jets to go with their guaranteed four wins over St. Louis and San Francisco. Their schedule heats up in Weeks 5-8 where they face the Giants, Packers and Tampa Bay: two division champs and the Super Bowl Champs. In one of the best Thanksgiving day matchups in recent memory, Seattle plays Dallas in a game worth setting the turkey down to watch. Additionally, if the Patriots make it past the Steelers with an undefeated record, Seattle will be the last team standing between them and another undefeated season. However, after their stretch of Washington-Dallas-New England, the 'hawks have two gimmie games against the Jets and Rams before they travel to Arizona to close out the season. Chances of that game actually mattering are slim because it's likely Seattle will have wrapped up the division by that point. But here's to hoping that a Week 17 game will actually decide a division for once.

Ian's 2008 Prediction: 11-5
John's 2008 Prediction: 11-5

Wednesday, August 6, 2008

Team Preview: Arizona Cardinals

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2007 Record: 8-8

The Arizona Cardinals have had one winning season since moving to the city in 1988. That season, featuring the franchise's lone playoff birth, came ten years later in 1998. Last year, the Cards came close, but managed to only reach .500. Now, ten years removed from their only winning season in Arizona, the team has high expectations once again. Similar to the situation in San Francisco, the Cardinals future lies in the hands of a young quarterback coming off an injury that forced him to miss the final 11 games last year. Also resembling the 49ers is the supposed battle for the starting spot between the young Matt Leinart and the veteran Kurt Warner. Despite what coaches say for each team, the younger signal caller in each situation is expected to win out. One concern going forward, however, is the stage of development Leinart is in after missing so much time. Unlike Alex Smith in San Fran, Leinart has yet to play a full season. Add his inexperience with the pressure of being a potential wild card team in the weak NFC, and disaster may find it's home again in Arizona.

There will be no shortage of talent for Leinart, however, both on the ground and especially through the air. The rushing attack is once again led by Edgerrin James. Despite solid numbers, James has been somewhat of a disappointment - after rushing for over 3,000 yards and 22 TD's the two years before coming to the Cards, James hasn't topped 1, 250 yards in either year in the desert, while amassing only 13 total scores. With Marcel Shipp now gone, 2005 second round pick J.J. Arrington now has a chance to prove himself in an increased role.

There's no other way to describe the receiving corps besides "loaded." Anquan Boldin and Larry Fitzgerald form arguably the best pair of wide outs in the NFL. Boldin has reached the 80 catch, 1,200 yard mark three times in his short five year career (surpassing 100 receptions twice), and last year, he caught over 70 balls for 850 yards in only 12 games. Fitzgerald, on the other side, has had two seasons of 100 receptions, 1,400 yards, and 10 TD's in four years. As if those two weren't formidable enough, special teams speedster Steve Breaston and Jerheme Urban will get increased looks as the slot receiver with Bryant Johnson now with the 49ers. Two players to keep an eye on are third round selection Early Doucet, an athletic receiver who plays taller than his 6'1" frame, and former 2006 third round pick Leonard Pope, a tight end who caught 5 touchdowns last year after failing to find the end zone as a rookie.

A long-time weakness of the offense, the line looks to be more experienced, hopefully translating into better play. Mike Gandy and second year stud Levi Brown are the strength of the line on the outside. The interior is mediocre, but features depth with the likes of Deuce Lutui, Elton Brown, and Scott Peters. The play of the line will determine Arizona's offensive ranking - either top two or three (with Dallas, G.B., and N.O.), or middle of the pack.

Arizona's defense has long been thought to underachieve. The coaches must feel the same, because the Cardinals used their top two picks on that side of the ball. The biggest pressure will be on Antonio Smith to fill the void left by end Calvin Pace. Smith has gotten better in each of his three years, posting 44 tackles and 5.5 sacks last year, both career highs. Another critical factor will be the health of opposite end Bertrand Berry, who hasn't played more than 10 games since 2004 (his last full season) when he was coming off back-to-back years of double-digit sacks. If either man should falter, second round pick Calais Campbell, a 6'8" giant, will be ready to step in. The interior of the line is oozing with potential. Darnell Dockett is coming off career highs in tackles (58) and sacks (9), while a pair of Michigan alum will battle for the other spot - third year incumbent Gabe Watson, and last year's second round pick, Alan Branch. If Berry can stay healthy, look for this line to surprise a lot of people.

At linebacker, Karlos Dansby is considered the stud of the defense. However, the talented player has suffered from nagging injuries his whole career, causing him to be inconsistent. Last year, Dansby posted a career high in tackles (99), but a career low in sacks (3.5). Starting alongside Dansby will be Gerald Hayes and Chike Okeafor, each of whom also posted career highs in tackles and sacks one year ago. Adding depth to the unit is former Steeler Clark Haggans. Haggans is looking to regain his form after a couple of down years in the "Steel City."

The secondary has long been the downfall of the defense, similar to the line on the offensive side of the ball. Coaches hope first round pick Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie changes the trend. Very big (6'2"), quick, and athletic, DRC will immediately challenge Eric Green for the starting spot opposite Roderick Hood vacated by Antrel Rolle's move to safety. Regardless of who wins out in camp, however, DRC will be starting by the end of the year. Speaking of Antrel Rolle, the former first round pick hopes his new spot next to defensive leader Adrian Wilson helps him regain the form that made him such a high pick. If you need evidence of Wilson's importance to this team, just look at what the defense did before he went down with a season-ending injury last year and compare it to the horrible results afterward. Despite the added talent and shifting of positions, the secondary has little room for error due to the lack of quality depth. The special teams won't cost the Cards any games, but they aren't going to make a huge difference either.

On paper, the Cardinals have it all - a young quarterback with great potential, an enormous amount of talent at the other skill positions, a more experienced line, and a hungry defense that includes young studs and solid veteran leadership. They even play in the weaker NFC. However, Matt Leinart lost a critical year of development last season, and there are no guarantees regarding the health of him, Warner, Berry, Dansby, and Wilson. That doesn't even include James, Boldin, Fitzgerald, and Levi Brown, all of whom missed time last year. The Cards will make a run at a wild card, and maybe even the division, but in the end, they are the Cardinals, and I think they have a winning season, but fail to make the playoffs.

John's 2008 Prediction: 9-7
Ian's 2008 Prediction: 9-7


Tuesday, August 5, 2008

Team Preview: San Francisco 49ers

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2007 Record: 5-11

The theme in San Francisco for the second consecutive year will be "Hope and Expectations." A year after going 7-9 and missing out on the playoffs by a single game in 2006, the '07 49ers at times resembled the team that won only two games back in 2004. However, the single bright spot that every bad team can look forward to is a high draft pick - too bad the Niners traded theirs to New England for Tully Banta-Cain. So, with only a handful of draft picks and a few other changes to the roster, San Fran enters this season with essentially the same team (plus some questionable "upgrades") that was victorious only five times last year.

Part of the struggles in 2007 can be blamed on the loss of QB Alex Smith for half the season due to injury. His anticipated progression was expected to put the 49ers in the hunt for the playoffs. Now, after missing the final 7 games, questions are flying as to whether his development has stayed the same, improved, or even regressed. Couple these concerns with the fact that Smith and head coach Mike Nolan have had past issues that have now resulted in a QB battle with Shaun Hill, and the beginning of this season could be a shaky one for the team.

Whoever lands the starting spot under center will have two things going in their favor - new offensive coordinator/genius Mike Martz and a talented backfield. Frank Gore was the second important offensive piece to be hampered by injury last year. Despite playing in 15 games, Gore suffered through a high-ankle sprain and amassed almost 600 yards fewer than the 1,700 he had the previous year. Similar to Smith, Gore is entering just his fourth year, indicating that consistency might be an issue. To help take the pressure off of Gore, the 49ers signed Carolina cast-off DeShaun Foster. Foster, who is best suited for a backup role, played in all 16 games for the first time in his career last season, and has gained over 800 yards rushing the last three campaigns. He will be a welcome addition for short yardage and especially goal line plays in 2008. Michael Robinson is a jet-quick, do-everything player waiting for an opportunity to get more touches. When he gets them, look out.

The biggest need on the offensive side of the ball has been the receiving corps ever since T.O. left. You have to give the front office credit for trying to revamp the unit this off-season. I'm just not sure 35-year-old Isaac Bruce and former Arizona Cardinal and first round bust Bryant Johnson are the answers. At this point, I see Bruce bringing veteran stability to the team more than anything else. However, Bruce followed up his last two disappointing years (reception-wise in 2003 and everything-wise in 2005) with above average seasons the next year. Additionally, playing on grass instead of turf for the first time in his career may refresh Bruce and allow him to stay healthy the entire season.

Despite being overshadowed by Boldin and Fitzgerald in Arizona, Johnson, a big 6'3" target, was still considered a major disappointment. He has never reached the 50 catch plateau, and his career high in yards is 740. He'll get a chance to start opposite Bruce because of his speed, but this pickup puzzles me because they already have a player who has put up similar stats in Arnaz Battle. I'm not saying Johnson isn't better, just that Battle has been just as good as the former first round pick. In my mind, both are best suited as 3rd-WR options. Heading into the season, the best option for the quarterbacks is budding star TE Vernon Davis. Davis had over 500 yards in one of the NFL's most anemic offenses last year, and he should only improve with everyone healthy in Mike Martz's scheme. Two sleepers to keep an eye on are veteran Ashley Lelie (if he can return to 2004 form) and second year wide out Jason Hill.

The 49ers also have an interesting O-line led by blue chip youngster Joe Staley and established veteran Barry Sims. Coaches expect second round pick Chilo Rachal to help solidify the interior of the line, but a problem still looms with the lack of a true center on the roster.

Earlier this decade, San Francisco used the draft to focus on defense, but now they have turned to the free agent route the past few seasons. This trend continued when they signed solid defensive end Justin Smith away from Cincinnati. Despite posting a career low 2 sacks (his lowest total since 2003) last year, the 49ers are counting on the somewhat inconsistent Smith to provide a much needed pass rush from the line - the same line which features no other standout names with the exception of first round pick (29th overall) Kentwan Balmer. The inability to stop the run against the likes of Stephen Jackson, Edgerrin James, and Julius Jones, or generate a pass rush against Hasselbeck, Bulger, and the talented aerial attack of Arizona due to a weak D-line could spell disaster all season for the 49ers.

Luckily, the rest of the defense in solid. The linebackers are led by reigning rookie of the year Patrick Willis, who tackles anything that moves. Behind Willis is great depth with the likes of the aforementioned Banta-Cain, Jeff Ulbrich, Brandon Moore, and Manny Lawson, who is returning after missing most of the year due to injury (he had 57 tackles and 2.5 sacks as a rookie). The key may be Moore, however, as the veteran recorded only 22 tackles and 2.5 sacks after an impressive 2006 campaign saw him recording 93 tackles with 6.5 sacks.

The secondary also features depth, led by CB's Nate Clements and Walt Harris. Shawntae Spencer could start on many teams and is one of the best nickel backs in the league (assuming he returns to form after missing a handful of games). Safety Michael Lewis came over from the Eagles to team with fellow newcomer Clements last year and posted an impressive 105 tackles. He and Mark Roman should once again form a formidable last line of defense, and if one of them should falter, Keith Lewis is ready to take over (77 tackles, 2 INT's in 2006). Keep an eye open for rookie Reggie Smith. He can play both corner and safety and is a freakish athlete who simply makes plays. The special teams are solid all around with kicker Joe Nedney, punter Andy Lee, and return man Allan Rossum.

Instead of "Hope and Expectations," maybe this year's theme should be "Health and Return to Form." Alex Smith, Frank Gore, DeShaun Foster, Isaac Bruce, and Manny Lawson all battled injuries last year, while Bryant Johnson, Justin Smith, and Brandon Moore all have pro-bowl talent that must re-emerge for the 49ers to be competitive. Last year, I stayed off of the San Fran bandwagon, stating I thought they were a year away. Now, after injuries and other issues, I believe they are right back where they started at this point last year - one year away. As always, the NFC could produce some mediocre playoff team such as the 49ers, but I think San Fran will struggle to leap frog even Arizona.

John's 2008 Prediction: 6-10
Ian's 2008 Prediction: 3-13

Monday, August 4, 2008

Team Preview: St. Louis Rams



2007 Record: 3-13

The Rams 2007 season was the epitome of injuries happening at bad times. Star running back Steven Jackson missed four games mid-season due to injury and is currently holding out of training camp in the hopes of getting a new contract. Jackson barely made it over the 1000 yard mark last season, and only tallied two 100+ yard games. Jackson's hold-out makes the training camp battle between Brian Leonard and Antonio Pittman all the more interesting, as it could transpose into playing time during the season.

Central Catholic alum Marc Bulger also missed four games last year with injuries and had a dreadful TD-INT ratio of 11-15. Bulger was either hot or ice cold last year. He topped the 300-yard plateau in 3 games, yet was under 200 in 6, including 3 games under 150 yards passing. One of Bulger's main targets, Isaac Bruce, has departed for the slightly greener pastures of San Francisco.

However, if you're looking for a team that has the potential to rise from the pits of misery to be a playoff contender, the Rams might just be your team. Bulger had the worst year of his career last season, and he has weapons-a-plenty in his offense. The Rams drafted two wide receivers, showing that even with the departure of Bruce, Tory Holt will have some company out in the field. The Rams also drafted Roy Scheuning (G-Oregon State) to add youth and depth to an offensive line that was devastated by injuries last year. With anchor Orlando Pace on the Physically Unable to Perform list to start the season, the Rams have time to work out replacements to the All-Pro tackle while thinking about the future of their offensive line.

The Rams draft was highlighted with defensive players, including Defensive End Chris Long and cornerback Justin King from Penn State. King had a disappointing year last year, but with the right teaching, could develop into a shutdown corner. The Rams defense will improve with the development of last year's first round pick Adam Carriker. The Rams were 21st last season in total defense but 31st in scoring defense. Their season was highlighted by their inability to stop teams with the game on the line. One may remember their game against Cleveland last year when they came from behind to take a late lead, only to let Cleveland march down the field and score.

If the Rams can stay healthy, they can definitely leap-frog the 49ers and maybe even make a run at Arizona and Seattle for the division crown. The Rams may very well start the season 0-7 or 1-6 with games against Philly, the Giants, Seattle, Buffalo, Washington, Dallas and New England to start the year. However, after that stretch, if they remain injury-free their schedule lightens up. Their last 9 opponents had a combined record of 52-92 last season, with only Seattle and Arizona breaking the 8-win plateau. If the Rams are going to make a run, they are going to do it in the second half of the season. If they can muster 2 or 3 wins out of the first half, this team has the potential to go 8-8, which in the NFC means battling for a playoff spot. If this team is going to get that far, it's going to take a monumental effort by the defense as well as some luck in avoiding injuries during the rough first half of the year so that the team is fresh down the stretch.

Ian's 2008 prediction: 7-9
John's 2008 prediction: 6-10